Brad Pickett vs Iuri Alcantara

October 7, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

951
(-34)
Brad Pickett
Winner: Iuri Alcantara
Submission
Round 1 • 1:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brad Pickett-34
Iuri Alcantara+38
1122
(+38)
Iuri Alcantara

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -26Iuri Alcantara: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Total UFC Fights1113
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9621 075
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Iuri Alcantara's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Iuri Alcantara for the expected result. Had Brad Pickett pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -17Iuri Alcantara: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9561 064
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -26Iuri Alcantara: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:591:59
Win Type ELO9781 194
ELO Change-26+49
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What Happened

Iuri Alcantara earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -55Iuri Alcantara: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Significant Strikes Landed126
Significant Strikes Attempted339
Total Strikes Landed126
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8521 208
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Iuri Alcantara controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 1 total strikes, 26 vs 1 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Iuri Alcantara capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -105Iuri Alcantara: +105

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:110:29
Ground Strikes Landed015
Ground ELO9111 126
ELO Change-105+105
💡

What Happened

Iuri Alcantara dominated Brad Pickett on the ground with 0:29 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -15Iuri Alcantara: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Days Since Last Fight224252
Activity ELO1 0221 162
ELO Change-15+18
💡

What Happened

Iuri Alcantara demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Iuri Alcantara capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Pickett's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -16Iuri Alcantara: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9681 084
ELO Change-16+18
💡

What Happened

Iuri Alcantara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Pickett: -17Iuri Alcantara: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad PickettIuri Alcantara
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9561 064
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.