March 17, 2017
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 917 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +39 |
Marlon Vera overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Pickett.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 925 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:50 | 3:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 928 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +67 |
Marlon Vera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 143 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 777 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Marlon Vera controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 51 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Marlon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:31 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 875 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Marlon Vera landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Pickett's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 936 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +21 |
Marlon Vera extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 924 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.