August 16, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 037 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:43 | 3:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 083 | 1 222 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +56 |
Michael McDonald earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Brad Pickett was submitted.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 51 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 002 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Michael McDonald dominated the striking exchanges with 51 vs 17 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 21.8% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Michael McDonald capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:21 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Michael McDonald edged out Brad Pickett on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:29 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Michael McDonald demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Michael McDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Pickett's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 016 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Michael McDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Michael McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.