July 10, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Thomas Almeida overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Pickett.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 948 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:29 | 0:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 989 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +60 |
Thomas Almeida gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 871 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Thomas Almeida controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thomas Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 950 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +56 |
Thomas Almeida demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Thomas Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Pickett's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +21 |
Thomas Almeida extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Pickett | Thomas Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 948 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.