June 11, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -35 |
Brad Riddell overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Drew Dober.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Brad Riddell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 137 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 195 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Brad Riddell controlled the striking exchanges with 113 vs 78 total strikes, 89 vs 73 significant strikes, 65.0% vs 43.5% accuracy. Brad Riddell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:30 | 1:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Brad Riddell controlled Drew Dober on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 2:30 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 126 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Brad Riddell demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brad Riddell capitalized on this activity level, while Drew Dober's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -23 |
Brad Riddell extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Drew Dober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Drew Dober |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.