December 3, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:20 | 2:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 132 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +62 |
Rafael Fiziev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 128 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Rafael Fiziev slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66 vs 59 significant strikes. Rafael Fiziev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Rafael Fiziev demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Fiziev capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Riddell's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +41 |
Rafael Fiziev continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Brad Riddell's now at 0.
| Metric | Brad Riddell | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.