April 21, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 129 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +71 |
Bruno Silva overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Tavares.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 078 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:35 | 3:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +83 |
Bruno Silva earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Bruno Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 15 significant strikes, 45.1% vs 23.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Bruno Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 095 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 294 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 209 | 1 334 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +106 |
Bruno Silva demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 42 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Bruno Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Tavares's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Bruno Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Bruno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.