November 1, 2019
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 144 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +71 |
Edmen Shahbazyan overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Tavares.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +118 |
Edmen Shahbazyan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 370 |
| ELO Change | -146 | +146 |
Edmen Shahbazyan dominated the striking exchanges with 14 vs 3 significant strikes, 36.8% vs 13.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 485 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 213 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +57 |
Edmen Shahbazyan demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Edmen Shahbazyan capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Tavares's 485-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 135 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +37 |
Edmen Shahbazyan extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Edmen Shahbazyan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

