Brad Tavares vs Gerald Meerschaert

April 5, 2025

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1133
(+25)
Brad Tavares
Winner: Brad Tavares
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brad Tavares+25
Gerald Meerschaert-24
1049
(-24)
Gerald Meerschaert

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +22Gerald Meerschaert: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Total UFC Fights2623
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 121963
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares's 3-fight experience advantage (26 vs 23 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brad Tavares for the expected result. Had Gerald Meerschaert pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +19Gerald Meerschaert: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0811 015
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +49Gerald Meerschaert: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2621 221
ELO Change+49-49
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +18Gerald Meerschaert: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Significant Strikes Landed4738
Significant Strikes Attempted10983
Total Strikes Landed5651
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 074939
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares edged the striking exchanges with 47 vs 38 significant strikes. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +21Gerald Meerschaert: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time0:014:44
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 0701 025
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gerald Meerschaert on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +34Gerald Meerschaert: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Days Since Last Fight175147
Activity ELO1 2531 170
ELO Change+34-19
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Gerald Meerschaert's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +20Gerald Meerschaert: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1301 047
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Brad Tavares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gerald Meerschaert is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brad Tavares: +20Gerald Meerschaert: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricBrad TavaresGerald Meerschaert
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0751 014
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.