April 5, 2025
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 26 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Brad Tavares's 3-fight experience advantage (26 vs 23 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brad Tavares for the expected result. Had Gerald Meerschaert pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 262 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 939 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Brad Tavares edged the striking exchanges with 47 vs 38 significant strikes. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 4:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gerald Meerschaert on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 253 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -19 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Gerald Meerschaert's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Brad Tavares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gerald Meerschaert is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gerald Meerschaert |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

