February 9, 2024
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +90 |
Gregory Rodrigues overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Tavares.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 084 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:55 | 0:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 358 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +81 |
Gregory Rodrigues gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 123 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 083 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Gregory Rodrigues controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 42 total strikes, 71 vs 37 significant strikes, 57.7% vs 44.0% accuracy. Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Gregory Rodrigues edged out Brad Tavares on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 246 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +50 |
Gregory Rodrigues demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gregory Rodrigues capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Tavares's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Gregory Rodrigues extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.