January 2, 2015
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -37 |
Brad Tavares overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 069 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Brad Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 57 vs 34 total strikes, 50 vs 30 significant strikes. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 1:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 030 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nate Marquardt on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:29 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Brad Tavares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.