December 31, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 858 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Brad Tavares overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Phil Baroni.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:20 | 4:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -37 |
Brad Tavares earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 103 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Brad Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 22 vs 11 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 1:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 879 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Brad Tavares landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 044 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Baroni's 406-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 043 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Brad Tavares extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Baroni is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.