March 1, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 157 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 116 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 254 | 172 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 141 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Brad Tavares dominated the striking exchanges with 131 vs 75 total strikes, 116 vs 69 significant strikes. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Riki Fukuda on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Riki Fukuda's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Brad Tavares extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Riki Fukuda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Riki Fukuda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 073 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.