August 27, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Brad Tavares's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brad Tavares for the expected result. Had Robert McDaniel pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 188 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Brad Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 14 significant strikes, 38.0% vs 25.0% accuracy. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:37 | 4:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 153 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Brad Tavares did not secure a significant ground advantage against Robert McDaniel on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:37 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 179 | 137 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -16 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 179 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Robert McDaniel's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -17 |
Brad Tavares extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robert McDaniel is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert McDaniel |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 091 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.