May 8, 2015
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +51 |
Robert Whittaker overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brad Tavares.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +110 |
Robert Whittaker secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 007 | 1 330 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Robert Whittaker controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 993 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 154 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Brad Tavares's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Robert Whittaker extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brad Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.