October 6, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -32 |
Brad Tavares overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thales Leites.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 122 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Brad Tavares earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 171 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Brad Tavares controlled the striking exchanges with 80 vs 50 total strikes, 70 vs 46 significant strikes, 51.5% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brad Tavares capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:24 | 2:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 148 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Brad Tavares landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 255 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -27 |
Brad Tavares demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brad Tavares capitalized on this activity level, while Thales Leites's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -23 |
Brad Tavares extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thales Leites is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brad Tavares | Thales Leites |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.