November 18, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 027 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Brady Hiestand earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Fernie Garcia controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (86 vs 56 total strikes). However, since Fernie Garcia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brady Hiestand's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:14 | 1:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Brady Hiestand controlled Fernie Garcia on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 9:14 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 449 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Brady Hiestand demonstrated extended layoff with 449 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brady Hiestand capitalized on this activity level, while Fernie Garcia's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Brady Hiestand started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fernie Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Fernie Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

