June 14, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 186 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -38 |
Brady Hiestand earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 1:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Garrett Armfield was submitted.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Garrett Armfield controlled the striking through superior volume (59 vs 42 total strikes), significant strike advantage (49 vs 22), superior accuracy (59.0% vs 44.0%), 1 knockdown. However, since Garrett Armfield lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brady Hiestand's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:36 | 2:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 22 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 846 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Brady Hiestand dominated Garrett Armfield on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 5:36 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 420 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 057 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Brady Hiestand demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Brady Hiestand capitalized on this activity level, while Garrett Armfield's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Brady Hiestand extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Garrett Armfield is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Garrett Armfield |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

