August 27, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ricky Turcios receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 171 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 201 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Ricky Turcios dominated the striking exchanges with 201 vs 82 total strikes, 100 vs 66 significant strikes, 58.5% vs 49.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ricky Turcios capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:40 | 2:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Ricky Turcios landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Ricky Turcios demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ricky Turcios capitalized on this activity level, while Brady Hiestand's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Ricky Turcios started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brady Hiestand is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brady Hiestand | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

