February 3, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jeff Monson's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jeff Monson for the expected result. Had Branden Lee Hinkle pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:35 | 4:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +91 |
Jeff Monson earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 061 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Jeff Monson edged the striking exchanges with 10 vs 5 significant strikes, 90.9% vs 62.5% accuracy. Jeff Monson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 3:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -111 | +111 |
Jeff Monson dominated Branden Lee Hinkle on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:01 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 121 | 1 485 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +21 |
Jeff Monson demonstrated extended layoff with 1485 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jeff Monson capitalized on this activity level, while Branden Lee Hinkle's 121-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 000 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Jeff Monson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Branden Lee Hinkle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Branden Lee Hinkle | Jeff Monson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.