January 19, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Kyle Bochniak's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Bochniak for the expected result. Had Brandon Davis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 952 | 995 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Kyle Bochniak earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 112 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 977 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Brandon Davis controlled the striking through superior volume (59 vs 35 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (38 vs 33). However, since Brandon Davis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Kyle Bochniak's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 15 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 3:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 944 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Kyle Bochniak edged out Brandon Davis on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 3:50 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Kyle Bochniak demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kyle Bochniak capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Davis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Kyle Bochniak started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Kyle Bochniak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.