October 14, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 865 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Mana Martinez overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Davis.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 918 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mana Martinez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 87 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 161 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 795 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Mana Martinez dominated the striking exchanges with 87 vs 76 significant strikes, 54.0% vs 42.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Mana Martinez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:31 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 854 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mana Martinez landed 2 knockdowns followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Mana Martinez demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mana Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Davis's 364-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 924 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Mana Martinez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Davis | Mana Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 918 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.