November 20, 2020
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 204 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Brandon Moreno's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Moreno for the expected result. Had Brandon Royval pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -35 |
Brandon Moreno earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Brandon Moreno edged the striking exchanges with 53 vs 24 total strikes, 47.1% vs 32.7% accuracy. Brandon Moreno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 191 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Brandon Moreno edged out Brandon Royval on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:01 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 57 |
| Activity ELO | 1 227 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Brandon Moreno demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Royval's 57-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 115 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -18 |
Brandon Moreno extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Royval is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.