February 23, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 215 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +60 |
Brandon Royval overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Moreno.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 199 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 421 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brandon Royval receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 112 | 145 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 510 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 177 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 311 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Brandon Royval dominated the striking exchanges with 177 vs 119 total strikes, 145 vs 112 significant strikes, 28.4% vs 53.1% accuracy. Brandon Royval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 243 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Brandon Royval did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brandon Moreno on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:35 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 261 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +86 |
Brandon Royval demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brandon Royval capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Moreno's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Brandon Royval started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Moreno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Brandon Royval |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.