April 21, 2017
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 176 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -25 |
Brandon Moreno overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Ortiz.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -35 |
Brandon Moreno earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:06, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Dustin Ortiz was submitted.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Brandon Moreno controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 16 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brandon Moreno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 4:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 181 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Brandon Moreno edged out Dustin Ortiz on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -24 |
Brandon Moreno demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Ortiz's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Brandon Moreno extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Dustin Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.