Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales

September 12, 2026

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1216
(+17)
Brandon Moreno
Winner: Brandon Moreno
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Brandon Moreno+17
Joseph Morales-16
1052
(-16)
Joseph Morales

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +21Joseph Morales: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Total UFC Fights216
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 1951 035
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Brandon Moreno's 15-fight experience advantage (21 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Moreno for the expected result. Had Joseph Morales pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +13Joseph Morales: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1791 009
ELO Change+13-13
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +6Joseph Morales: -6

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3301 147
ELO Change+6-6
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brandon Moreno receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +10Joseph Morales: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Significant Strikes Landed6771
Significant Strikes Attempted180183
Total Strikes Landed7177
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 218994
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Joseph Morales lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Brandon Moreno's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +35Joseph Morales: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted28
Ground Control Time2:340:35
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2291 136
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Brandon Moreno edged out Joseph Morales on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:34 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +15Joseph Morales: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Days Since Last Fight196308
Activity ELO1 2541 070
ELO Change+15-12
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What Happened

Brandon Moreno demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Joseph Morales's 308-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +17Joseph Morales: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1431 017
ELO Change+17-15
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What Happened

Brandon Moreno started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joseph Morales is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Moreno: +17Joseph Morales: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon MorenoJoseph Morales
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1001 005
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

Brandon Moreno

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight: +0
Total Title Victories So Far:2
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:10