December 13, 2019
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Brandon Moreno's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Moreno for the expected result. Had Kai Kara-France pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 126 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Brandon Moreno earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 276 | 231 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Brandon Moreno edged the striking exchanges with 91 vs 82 significant strikes. Brandon Moreno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 096 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 150 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -22 |
Brandon Moreno demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Kai Kara-France's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Brandon Moreno started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kai Kara-France is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.