July 29, 2022
UFC Interim Flyweight Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 259 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Brandon Moreno's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Moreno for the expected result. Had Kai Kara-France pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 181 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:34 | 4:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 419 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -35 |
Brandon Moreno gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 151 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 352 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Brandon Moreno controlled the striking exchanges with 58 vs 53 significant strikes, 38.4% vs 48.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brandon Moreno capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:45 | 0:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 292 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brandon Moreno landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 273 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Brandon Moreno demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Moreno capitalized on this activity level, while Kai Kara-France's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 156 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Brandon Moreno started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kai Kara-France is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 119 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.