August 4, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 142 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Sergio Pettis's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sergio Pettis for the expected result. Had Brandon Moreno pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 139 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Sergio Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 161 | 235 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 84 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Sergio Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 45 significant strikes. Sergio Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:48 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 151 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sergio Pettis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Brandon Moreno on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 202 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Sergio Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 202 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Moreno's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +28 |
Sergio Pettis extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Moreno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Moreno | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.