June 28, 2025
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 204 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +42 |
Joshua Van overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Royval.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 238 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Joshua Van earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 215 | 204 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 467 | 305 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 216 | 209 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 295 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
Brandon Royval controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (215 vs 204), superior accuracy (46.0% vs 66.9%). However, since Brandon Royval lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joshua Van's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 164 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 259 | 21 |
| Activity ELO | 1 243 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +136 |
Joshua Van demonstrated exceptional activity with 21 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Royval's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +41 |
Joshua Van continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Brandon Royval's now at 0.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.