July 11, 2026
Flyweight Bout
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| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 195 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Brandon Royval's 8-fight experience advantage (13 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Royval for the expected result. Had Lone'er Kavanagh pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 088 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:40 | 3:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -31 |
Brandon Royval earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:40, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Lone'er Kavanagh was submitted.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 84 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 146 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 238 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brandon Royval dominated the striking exchanges with 146 vs 63 total strikes, 84 vs 56 significant strikes. Brandon Royval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:53 | 2:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 186 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Brandon Royval dominated Lone'er Kavanagh on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:53 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 237 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Brandon Royval demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Royval capitalized on this activity level, while Lone'er Kavanagh's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 116 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Brandon Royval started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lone'er Kavanagh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Lone'er Kavanagh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.