April 14, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -37 |
Brandon Royval overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matheus Nicolau.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 072 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 285 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +120 | -53 |
Brandon Royval earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 314 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +200 | -200 |
Brandon Royval controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 2 significant strikes, 59.1% vs 40.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brandon Royval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 167 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Brandon Royval landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Brandon Royval demonstrated standard activity with 343 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Brandon Royval capitalized on this activity level, while Matheus Nicolau's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -26 |
Brandon Royval extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matheus Nicolau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matheus Nicolau |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.