May 6, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -31 |
Brandon Royval overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Schnell.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:14 | 2:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 165 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -49 |
Brandon Royval earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 114 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Matt Schnell controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Matt Schnell lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brandon Royval's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:13 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Brandon Royval edged out Matt Schnell on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 149 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -21 |
Brandon Royval demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Royval capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Schnell's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Brandon Royval extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Schnell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.