January 14, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brandon Royval receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 132 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 891 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brandon Royval controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 39 total strikes, 40 vs 28 significant strikes, 30.3% vs 48.3% accuracy. Brandon Royval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:43 | 7:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Brandon Royval did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rogerio Bontorin on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:43 of control time, 11 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 096 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Brandon Royval demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Royval capitalized on this activity level, while Rogerio Bontorin's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 037 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Brandon Royval started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rogerio Bontorin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Royval | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.