December 29, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 955 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Niko Price overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Thatch.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 968 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +88 |
Niko Price earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Niko Price slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 37.5% vs 57.1% accuracy. Niko Price capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 2:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 707 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Niko Price dominated Brandon Thatch on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:51 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 300 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Niko Price demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Niko Price capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Thatch's 300-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 975 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Niko Price started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Thatch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Niko Price |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 964 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.