November 8, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 118 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -28 |
Brandon Thatch overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paulo Thiago.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 225 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -41 |
Brandon Thatch earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 251 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Brandon Thatch controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 5 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brandon Thatch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:27 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Brandon Thatch landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 74 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +79 | -26 |
Brandon Thatch demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 74 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brandon Thatch capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Brandon Thatch extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Thatch | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.