October 28, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Brandon Vera's 8-fight experience advantage (14 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Vera for the expected result. Had Eliot Marshall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 240 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Brandon Vera earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 086 | 841 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Eliot Marshall controlled the striking through superior volume (79 vs 55 total strikes), significant strike advantage (21 vs 33), superior accuracy (38.2% vs 50.8%), 1 knockdown. However, since Eliot Marshall lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brandon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:10 | 2:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Brandon Vera edged out Eliot Marshall on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:10 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 180 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Brandon Vera demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Brandon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Eliot Marshall's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Brandon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Eliot Marshall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Eliot Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.