Brandon Vera vs Keith Jardine

October 17, 2008

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1091
(-35)
Brandon Vera
Winner: Keith Jardine
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brandon Vera-35
Keith Jardine+38
1089
(+38)
Keith Jardine

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -35Keith Jardine: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Total UFC Fights89
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO1 0531 084
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -22Keith Jardine: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0441 070
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -15Keith Jardine: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2501 134
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Keith Jardine receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -88Keith Jardine: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Significant Strikes Landed4850
Significant Strikes Attempted86131
Total Strikes Landed5759
Knockdowns Scored11
Striking ELO1 087995
ELO Change-88+88
💡

What Happened

Keith Jardine controlled the striking exchanges with 38.2% vs 55.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Keith Jardine capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -51Keith Jardine: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted14
Ground Control Time0:383:40
Ground Strikes Landed910
Ground ELO1 0531 072
ELO Change-51+51
💡

What Happened

Keith Jardine landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -22Keith Jardine: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Days Since Last Fight91147
Activity ELO1 1541 206
ELO Change-22+44
💡

What Happened

Keith Jardine demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Keith Jardine capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Vera's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -22Keith Jardine: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0551 084
ELO Change-22+24
💡

What Happened

Keith Jardine started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brandon Vera: -22Keith Jardine: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrandon VeraKeith Jardine
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0351 063
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.