August 3, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +32 |
Mauricio Rua overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brandon Vera.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 051 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 4:09 | 4:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 214 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +51 |
Mauricio Rua gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 103 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 142 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Mauricio Rua dominated the striking exchanges with 142 vs 89 total strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mauricio Rua capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:51 | 11:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Mauricio Rua landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 158 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Mauricio Rua demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mauricio Rua capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Vera's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 059 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +24 |
Mauricio Rua started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

