March 6, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Brandon Vera's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brandon Vera for the expected result. Had Michael Patt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 278 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Brandon Vera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 174 | 820 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Brandon Vera dominated the striking exchanges with 32 vs 5 total strikes, 32 vs 5 significant strikes, 42.7% vs 17.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Brandon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 068 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 176 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -11 |
Brandon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brandon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Patt's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Brandon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Patt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Michael Patt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

