November 13, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Randy Couture's 10-fight experience advantage (21 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Couture for the expected result. Had Brandon Vera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 308 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 270 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Randy Couture earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 165 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Randy Couture edged the striking exchanges with 39 vs 27 significant strikes. Randy Couture capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:25 | 8:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 1 387 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Randy Couture edged out Brandon Vera on the ground with 1 takedown, 8:59 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 78 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 193 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Randy Couture demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Randy Couture capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Vera's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 081 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Randy Couture started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 065 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.