October 19, 2007
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Tim Sylvia's 7-fight experience advantage (12 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Sylvia for the expected result. Had Brandon Vera pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 073 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 311 | 1 460 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Tim Sylvia earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 68 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 137 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Tim Sylvia dominated the striking exchanges with 137 vs 77 total strikes, 68 vs 58 significant strikes, 56.2% vs 80.6% accuracy. Tim Sylvia capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:05 | 7:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 129 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Tim Sylvia slightly outworked Brandon Vera on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:40 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 129 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +18 |
Tim Sylvia demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tim Sylvia capitalized on this activity level, while Brandon Vera's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +19 |
Tim Sylvia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brandon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brandon Vera | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.