May 5, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Parker Porter's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Parker Porter for the expected result. Had Braxton Smith pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +92 |
Parker Porter earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 894 | 943 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Parker Porter edged the striking exchanges with 37 vs 14 total strikes, 25 vs 14 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 48.3% accuracy. Parker Porter capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Parker Porter controlled Braxton Smith on the ground with 0:27 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +57 |
Parker Porter demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Parker Porter capitalized on this activity level, while Braxton Smith's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Parker Porter started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Braxton Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Braxton Smith | Parker Porter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

