December 3, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +54 |
Chris Curtis overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Brendan Allen.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:58 | 1:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 223 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +122 |
Chris Curtis gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Chris Curtis controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 44 total strikes, 61 vs 43 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Chris Curtis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Chris Curtis landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 148 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +206 |
Chris Curtis demonstrated exceptional activity with 28 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Chris Curtis capitalized on this activity level, while Brendan Allen's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Chris Curtis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Brendan Allen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Chris Curtis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.