Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis

April 5, 2024

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1351
(+19)
Brendan Allen
Winner: Brendan Allen
Decision - Split
Round 5 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brendan Allen+19
Chris Curtis-14
1161
(-14)
Chris Curtis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +19Chris Curtis: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Total UFC Fights149
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 3371 154
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Brendan Allen's 5-fight experience advantage (14 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brendan Allen for the expected result. Had Chris Curtis pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +15Chris Curtis: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1841 053
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +4Chris Curtis: -4

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round55
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 5301 285
ELO Change+4-4
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Brendan Allen receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +19Chris Curtis: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Significant Strikes Landed112124
Significant Strikes Attempted222241
Total Strikes Landed128141
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3271 248
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Chris Curtis controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (124 vs 112). However, since Chris Curtis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brendan Allen's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +16Chris Curtis: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted130
Ground Control Time6:051:18
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 5501 162
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Brendan Allen controlled Chris Curtis on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 6:05 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +27Chris Curtis: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Days Since Last Fight14077
Activity ELO1 4171 250
ELO Change+27-14
💡

What Happened

Brendan Allen demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Chris Curtis's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +36Chris Curtis: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Win Streak70
Win Streak ELO1 2801 081
ELO Change+36-12
💡

What Happened

Brendan Allen continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Chris Curtis's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +15Chris Curtis: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenChris Curtis
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1841 052
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.