June 10, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 196 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Brendan Allen's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brendan Allen for the expected result. Had Jacob Malkoun pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 094 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 279 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Brendan Allen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 74 | 55 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Brendan Allen edged the striking exchanges with 89 vs 66 total strikes, 45 vs 33 significant strikes. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 14 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:24 | 7:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 212 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Brendan Allen edged out Jacob Malkoun on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:24 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 234 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -12 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Jacob Malkoun's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Brendan Allen extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jacob Malkoun is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Jacob Malkoun |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 094 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

