October 17, 2019
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Brendan Allen overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kevin Holland.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:38 | 3:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 084 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -54 |
Brendan Allen earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kevin Holland was submitted.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 028 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Kevin Holland controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (22 vs 10), superior accuracy (57.9% vs 45.5%). However, since Kevin Holland lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Brendan Allen's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:53 | 4:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 095 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Brendan Allen controlled Kevin Holland on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:53 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Holland's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Brendan Allen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Holland is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.