June 26, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Brendan Allen's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brendan Allen for the expected result. Had Kyle Daukaus pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Brendan Allen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 219 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Brendan Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 34 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:37 | 7:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 176 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Brendan Allen did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kyle Daukaus on the ground with 0 takedowns, 5:37 of control time, 25 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 121 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -16 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Daukaus's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Brendan Allen extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Daukaus is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Kyle Daukaus |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 065 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

