July 23, 2021
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 185 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Brendan Allen's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Brendan Allen for the expected result. Had Punahele Soriano pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 282 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Brendan Allen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 149 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 94 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Brendan Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 94 vs 66 total strikes, 94 vs 66 significant strikes. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -15 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Punahele Soriano's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Brendan Allen extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Punahele Soriano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Punahele Soriano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

