Brendan Allen vs Sam Alvey

February 4, 2022

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1147
(+31)
Brendan Allen
Winner: Brendan Allen
Submission
Round 2 • 2:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Brendan Allen+31
Sam Alvey-21
954
(-21)
Sam Alvey

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +30Sam Alvey: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Total UFC Fights823
Experience Gap-1515
Experience ELO1 175927
ELO Change+30-15
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What Happened

Brendan Allen overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sam Alvey.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +15Sam Alvey: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 076949
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +35Sam Alvey: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:102:10
Win Type ELO1 2581 026
ELO Change+35-22
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What Happened

Brendan Allen earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sam Alvey was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +32Sam Alvey: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Significant Strikes Landed3624
Significant Strikes Attempted5457
Total Strikes Landed3624
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 102851
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Brendan Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 24 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 42.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +36Sam Alvey: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:440:07
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 178828
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Brendan Allen dominated Sam Alvey on the ground with 0:44 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +63Sam Alvey: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Days Since Last Fight63162
Activity ELO1 2111 128
ELO Change+63-21
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What Happened

Brendan Allen demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Alvey's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +17Sam Alvey: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 097974
ELO Change+17-16
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What Happened

Brendan Allen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Alvey is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Brendan Allen: +15Sam Alvey: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricBrendan AllenSam Alvey
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 076948
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.