February 4, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -15 |
Brendan Allen overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sam Alvey.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:10 | 2:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -22 |
Brendan Allen earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sam Alvey was submitted.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 102 | 851 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Brendan Allen controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 24 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 42.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Brendan Allen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 828 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Brendan Allen dominated Sam Alvey on the ground with 0:44 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 211 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -21 |
Brendan Allen demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Brendan Allen capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Alvey's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Brendan Allen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Alvey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Brendan Allen | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

